Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 106.543294 118.203216 130.228026 143.528630 157.800863 172.629034 189.172222
2024-10-20 84.794564 101.540063 119.747463 140.897467 164.670233 190.448631 220.395636
2024-10-27 68.948810 88.909365 111.730805 139.458572 171.934918 208.472722 252.381866
2024-11-03 59.689401 82.385447 109.536335 143.843336 185.453168 233.713215 293.317899
2024-11-10 51.684017 76.176868 106.762501 146.830527 196.974807 256.708062 332.241563
2024-11-17 45.519250 71.384560 104.997694 150.492882 209.027332 280.387600 372.452732
2024-11-24 40.795740 67.822532 104.265152 155.065631 222.046309 305.363307 414.719384
2024-12-01 33.565320 59.789638 96.699155 149.897991 221.973712 313.619172 436.154608
2024-12-08 28.439570 54.110749 91.723227 147.614643 225.202452 325.781502 462.440746
2024-12-15 25.088004 50.683627 89.557113 148.882125 232.971717 343.773968 496.358972
2024-12-22 22.454854 48.044139 88.245334 151.122480 241.949005 363.391889 532.633605
2024-12-29 20.960957 47.109041 89.378428 156.850072 255.831402 389.751884 578.171886
2025-01-05 19.002538 45.184353 88.895703 160.262389 266.743486 412.667853 620.093387
2025-01-12 16.362748 41.650422 85.517410 159.044195 270.894684 426.417232 650.047275
2025-01-19 14.168818 38.623367 82.678557 158.416207 275.769922 441.181649 681.594283
2025-01-26 13.191220 37.883851 83.643790 163.790257 289.642655 468.775347 731.125450
2025-02-02 12.048515 36.622421 83.562889 167.405435 300.903294 492.845766 776.167973
2025-02-09 11.110169 35.653542 83.891693 171.631272 313.122210 518.430330 823.632502
2025-02-16 10.375163 35.031116 84.782450 176.780526 326.845745 546.384925 874.799023
2025-02-23 8.482754 31.312732 79.511211 171.153287 323.510670 549.431348 890.886643
2025-03-02 7.178681 28.762627 76.217246 168.673071 324.929617 559.317452 916.671706
2025-03-09 6.395356 27.422126 75.195416 170.092476 332.553899 578.441061 955.859642
2025-03-16 5.784067 26.435207 74.799542 172.575249 341.912866 600.262096 999.184463